CRA: Weather in Cocoa Growing Areas to 27 July 2025

West Africa. After good rains during June over Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana cocoa, rain has slowed very quickly. In the Veriground station history, covering 2020-2024, rain slowed quickly also in 2021. However, it slowed from a higher Jun peak, continued at a good level through early Aug, 20 mm/10 days, then returned early and vigorously in late Aug 2021.  Cumulative rain in Côte d’Ivoire during 2025 was only average at the start of Jul and now is lagging the 2021 history. Cumulative rain in Ghana’s cocoa area also is starting to lag 2021. Rain has declined least in the northwest Côte d’Ivoire cocoa area. Otherwise the decline has been similar across all regions of Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana. Humidity has been drifting down but remains around 85%, probably meaning overcast skies. Field reports agree with high humidity and overcast skies.

Forecasts see small amounts of rain returning in the first days of Aug with significant amounts in some areas. Crop surveys tell of good development in Côte d’Ivoire but lagging development in Ghana.

Reports of the WMO from Ibadan, Nigeria, on the western side of Nigeria’s western cocoa area, indicate quite heavy rain during mid Jun and early July that since has ended.

areas. Rain in Ecuador has slowed to about nil, which is typical for the season. Cumulative totals are ahead of normal. In Brazil, rain near Bahia’s cocoa area has been about half of normal for a month and recently improved. Rain there has been fluctuating around normal throughout 2025 with a year-to-date overage of 105 mm/30 days. This is low compared with recent years but close to the 30-year average. Rain in Para has been slightly better than normal with a year-to-date average of 251 mm/30 days. Rain in Peru’s cocoa area has stayed close to normal since recovering from a dry period  during late 2024 and Jan-Feb 2025. Sulawesi’s rain continues to stay close to normal. The year’s cumulative exceeds normal. ENSO. Unchanged. NOAA‘s Jul assessment sees neutral conditions through Oct, perhaps drifting toward a mild La Niña thereafter.